Potential Comprehensive Immigration Reform Under a
New Administration
Although the economy is currently dominating
political discussions, Immigration continues to be one of the
hottest domestic policy issues. Indeed, it has been one of the key
issues for the Bush Administration, and both Senators Obama and
McCain were leaders in the Comprehensive Immigration Reform debate.
So what do we expect from the next Administration? We believe there
will be an effort to effectuate significant immigration reform in
enforcement, compliance and improved technology, based on the fact
that the Obama and the McCain camps both agree that immigration
reform is imperative. However, the candidates’ timeline for these
reforms might be a little different.
An
Obama administration plan may move more swiftly through
Congress, especially given anticipated gains in
Democratic seats in both the House of Representatives and Senate. If
the Democrats do gain a substantial number of seats in Congress, an
Obama Administration will likely have an easier time pushing its
version of comprehensive immigration reform through Congress.
Obama’s plan focuses on creating secure borders, improving the
immigration system, removing incentives to enter the U.S. illegally
and working directly with Mexico. Additionally, during an Obama
presidency, Unions will most probably play a much larger role in
shaping overall policy.
If Senator McCain is elected the next
President of the United States, we may see a resurrection of the old
McCain-Kennedy bill from the 106th Congress. McCain would probably
wait at least a year, if not more, before tackling major immigration
reform and may settle for a few smaller changes until he is ready to
address immigration issues on a full scale basis. McCain’s stated
first priority would be securing U.S. borders. Once that is
accomplished,
McCain’s plan would address prosecuting “bad-actor”
employers, meeting America’s labor needs, addressing undocumented
aliens currently residing in the U.S. and eliminating the backlog of
family members patiently waiting to rejoin their families who live
in the U.S. The good news is that both candidates are committed to
significant immigration reforms. Additionally, they both supported
reform from the legislative side, and may fare much better than the
current Administration when working with their former colleagues on
the Hill.
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